Issue Nationalizes Further

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The ad buy turns the Epstein files into a national midterm issue rather than a district-level attack. New DOJ material, congressional leaks or campaign missteps keep Trump’s past association with Epstein in the news through the final week.

What it moves

Technology−0.3%
Finance−0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?