Possible scenario
Moore Overtakes Womack
0.0%
Late-counted Election Day ballots, rural precinct updates, or provisional-ballot validation move Tim Moore ahead despite Womack’s initial lead. This remains plausible because Republican candidates often improve as same-day and smaller-county vote is fully reported.
What it moves
- Finance+0.1%
- Energy+0.1%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.