Possible scenario
Hyde-Smith Comeback
10%
0.0%
A late reversal remains possible if the outstanding 2% of ballots come disproportionately from Hyde-Smith-friendly counties or if provisional ballot rulings materially favor Republicans. This is less likely because a 3,182-vote deficit at 98% counted requires a strong skew in the remaining vote.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.