Recount Fight Emerges

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The final vote margin narrows enough for Bodnar’s campaign and allied Democrats to examine recount or ballot-challenge options. The result still favors Alme, but the formal resolution takes longer and keeps Montana’s Senate seat in the news.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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