Possible scenario
Montana Democrats Rebuild
10%
0.0%
The Alme win triggers a post-election reckoning for Montana Democrats after former Governor Steve Bullock and the state party chair backed Bodnar over the Democratic nominee. The focus shifts to party leadership, candidate recruitment, and whether an independent-liberal coalition can survive into 2028.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.