Possible scenario
Clean Alme Certification
45%
0.0%
Kurt Alme’s projected win holds through county canvassing and becomes the accepted result. Independent candidate Bodnar and Democratic-aligned supporters face limited options after Alme’s late double-digit polling recovery is validated by the vote count.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.