GOP Overperforms Late

8%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Democratic ad expansion proves to be a sign of opportunity rather than momentum, and Republicans nationalize the final week around immigration, inflation and Trump turnout. The GOP emerges with a more comfortable House majority than most handicappers expected.

What it moves

Finance+0.5%
Energy+0.5%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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