The increased share of support among White voters is a primary reason the contest has moved into the 'Solid D' category. These metrics are part of VoteHub's 2026 midterm forecasts, which assess candidate viability based on demographic movement.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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VoteHub’s Georgia Forecast Gives Jon Ossoff 96.2% Senate Win Probability
US Politics14 days ago
Jon Ossoff is projected to capture 36% of the White vote in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, according to the latest forecast from VoteHub. This figure is 16 percentage points higher than the 20% of White voters estimated to have supported Barack Obama in 2012. Due to this shift, VoteHub now rates the Senate seat as 'Solid D' and calculates Ossoff's win probability at 96.2%, a new all-time high.
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