Possible scenario
Clear Ossoff Reelection
72% Chance
Jon Ossoff wins reelection without a recount-level finish, broadly validating VoteHub’s 96.2% forecast. Strong Democratic performance in metro Atlanta, Savannah, Athens, and suburban counties offsets Republican margins in rural Georgia.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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