Pushback Narrows Plan

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Congressional hawks, Ukraine, and some European officials resist lifting sanctions on a Russian state investment vehicle while Russian strikes continue. The White House leaves the proposal under review or narrows it to humanitarian and diplomatic contacts.

What it moves

Energy+0.2%
Finance−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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