Possible scenario
Policy Path Repriced
18%
0.0%
Markets focus less on the personal dispute and more on how a new president could alter the rate path. The near-term reaction depends on whether investors see the succession as shifting the ECB in a dovish or hawkish direction.
What it moves
- Finance−0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.2%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
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