Possible scenario
Program Strains Emerge
10%
−0.1%
The relief package becomes politically and operationally difficult as governments debate eligibility, burden-sharing, and whether support should protect jobs or finance restructuring. This path would leave investors skeptical that public funds can offset the scale of tariff damage.
What it moves
- Non-Energy Materials−1.2%
- Industrials−1.0%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.8%
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