Possible scenario
Opposition Forms Government
30%
+0.3%
High Arab turnout prevents Netanyahu from assembling a majority and gives the anti-Netanyahu camp a path to government. A Lapid-Gantz arrangement would likely need outside support or abstentions from Arab parties, making it politically fragile but somewhat more reassuring to investors worried about judicial and diplomatic confrontation.
What it moves
- Finance+0.5%
- Technology+0.4%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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