Partial Evacuation Only

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The truce remains formally in place, but the evacuation falls short of the 527-person expectation. Logistical bottlenecks, Russian screening, damaged infrastructure, and fear among residents leave a substantial number still in occupied territory.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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