Democratic Surge Holds

The noon turnout surge proves to be an early indicator of unusually strong Democratic enthusiasm in major metro and suburban counties. With the Texas Senate race already shifted to Lean D, analysts would likely move the race closer to Likely D if Harris, Dallas, Travis, Bexar, Fort Bend and Collin continue to overperform.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.