Paxton Holds Lead

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Paxton’s Republican base remains consolidated despite renewed attention on impeachment, whistleblowers, and past securities-fraud charges. The ad draws media coverage but does not materially alter the fundamentals of a right-leaning statewide electorate.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?