Possible scenario
Recount Fight Extends
16%
0.0%
The margin tightens enough to trigger a recount, but neither campaign is willing to concede quickly. The contest shifts from turnout operations to ballot curing, provisional-ballot eligibility, and county-level recount procedures.
What it moves
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.