Paxton Holds Seat

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Ken Paxton stages a late comeback and keeps the Texas Senate seat in Republican hands. Because Talarico had led recent ratings and polling, the result is viewed as a modest upset and raises questions about whether late Republican turnout was underestimated.

What it moves

Energy+0.9%
Finance+0.5%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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