Possible scenario
Restart Holds Steady
50% Chance
ExxonMobil's Joliet refinery continues its restart without a major new operational problem. Chicago spot gasoline remains cheap relative to other U.S. markets as local supply normalizes after the September 13 power outage.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
Tickers
- XOM+0.3%
- PSX-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.