Possible scenario
Restart Hiccups Emerge
25% Chance
The refinery restart proves uneven, with some units taking longer to stabilize after the full-plant outage. Chicago gasoline prices partially retrace their decline, but the issue remains regional rather than a national fuel shock.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- XOM-0.5%
- PSX+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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