Possible scenario

Supply Normalizes Margins

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Nvidia achieves full production, but the market concludes that the supply chain is catching up to demand rather than creating a fresh upside surprise. Revenue visibility improves, while investors debate whether faster assembly eventually limits scarcity pricing.

What it moves

Technology+0.2%
Industrials+0.1%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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