Possible scenario
Election Transition
28%
−0.1%
María Corina Machado converts her return and election demand into a negotiated timetable backed by the OAS and parts of the U.S. Congress. Washington keeps security control in the near term but accepts a path to elections to legitimize a post-Maduro government.
What it moves
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.5%
- Industrials+0.3%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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