GOP Retains House

27%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Knickerbocker wins OH-10, but Republicans offset the loss with holds or pickups elsewhere. The result becomes a warning sign for Ohio Republicans rather than a change in national House control.

What it moves

Energy+0.2%
Finance+0.2%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?