Crackdown Deepens

The central government treats the protests as a security challenge and expands arrests under public-order and unlawful-assembly provisions. This outcome is plausible because the detention of Cockroach Party figures suggests a willingness to use coercive tools before the courts settle the voter-roll dispute.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.