Expected Quarter-Point Hike

55%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Monetary Policy Committee raises Bank Rate by 25 basis points, ending the three-year pause in line with market expectations. Policymakers cite stronger UK growth, firmer wage data, and falling unemployment while emphasizing that future moves remain data-dependent.

What it moves

Finance+0.3%
Utilities−0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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