Possible scenario
BOE Delays Hike
15%
−0.2%
The MPC unexpectedly leaves Bank Rate unchanged, judging that the recent improvement in UK activity and wages is not yet enough to justify ending the pause. Markets mark down near-term UK rate expectations, with mixed effects for equities depending on whether the message is seen as dovish or growth-negative.
What it moves
- Finance−0.6%
- Utilities+0.4%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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