Another Election Called

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Neither Eisenkot nor Netanyahu can assemble 61 reliable MKs, and the Knesset moves toward another election. Arab parties’ record gains remain politically decisive, but the system fails to absorb them into a stable governing arrangement.

What it moves

Finance−0.4%
Technology−0.3%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?