States Reconsider Membership

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

After the compact crosses 270 electoral votes, opponents focus on state-level repeal campaigns, ballot measures, and legislative reversals. The threshold remains fragile if recently flipped chambers or governorships prove temporary.

What it moves

Finance+0.1%
Technology+0.1%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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