Possible scenario
Courts Block Compact
−0.2%
Republican attorneys general and legislatures challenge the compact under the Constitution’s Compact Clause, Electors Clause, and Guarantee Clause. A federal court or the Supreme Court could delay or invalidate implementation before the 2028 election calendar locks in.
What it moves
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.3%
- Technology−0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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