Possible scenario
Eisenkot Bypasses Shas
24%
0.0%
Eisenkot may try to form a government without Shas if UTJ remains open to talks and centrist parties accept a compromise platform. This route is arithmetically difficult because it must bridge secular, Haredi, and possibly Arab-party support, but it remains viable if Likud refuses all unity formulas.
What it moves
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.