Coalition Naval Response

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The U.S. Fifth Fleet, Qatar and European navies expand patrols and surveillance near Qatari waters. The response deters some attacks, but it also increases the risk of a direct encounter with IRGC naval units.

What it moves

Industrials+1.3%
Finance−0.6%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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