Possible scenario
Funding Stress Escalates
15%
−2.9%
A less likely but important downside scenario is that equity losses trigger wider funding stress, especially with US 10-year yields above 5% and regional investors facing mark-to-market losses. This would turn a stock-market correction into a broader risk-asset event across credit, FX, and crypto.
What it moves
- Technology−4.3%
- Finance−3.8%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.