Deal Breaks Down

10%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

A lower-probability but material downside case is that the merger is renegotiated, delayed indefinitely, or terminated. Causes could include valuation disagreement, insufficient shareholder support, regulatory disclosure issues, or weak SPAC financing conditions.

What it moves

Finance−0.2%
Technology−0.1%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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