The campaign push follows leaked audio in which Paxton blamed a GOP midterm convention in Dallas for a decline in Republican polling, a claim Trump dismissed by citing the event's 107 million views. Prediction markets on Kalshi now price Paxton's win probability at 33%, while other polls indicate Trump's approval on immigration among Texas Latinos is 36% across three competitive House districts. Vice President JD Vance has said he is not concerned by the leaked audio, although Senator John Cornyn described the revelations as a "Whoops."
