Possible scenario
Courts Slow Enforcement
30% Chance
State attorneys general, immigrant-rights groups, and sanctuary jurisdictions challenge the targeting of non-criminal immigrants, arguing constitutional and statutory violations. Federal judges do not stop all removals, but they impose procedural limits that reduce the operational pace.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.4%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.3%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- GEO-1.7%
- CXW-1.5%
- TSN+0.6%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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