Domestic Constraints Prevail
+0.5%
Political and legal resistance in Washington slows or blocks the strike option despite White House discussions. This path is least likely given the security timeline, but it is plausible because earlier reporting showed the administration halted strikes before the midterms.
What it moves
- Consumer Services+1.1%
- Energy−1.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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