Possible scenario
GOP Counteroffensive Builds
20% Chance
Republicans try to turn the controversy back toward Smith by arguing that the disputed texts still justify more oversight of the Trump investigations. The perjury allegation is reframed as a broader demand for documents, communications, and prosecutorial accountability.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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