Possible scenario
Democrats Escalate Procedurally
27% Chance
Democrats use the unvetted-text revelation to argue Schmitt knowingly advanced a false accusation against Jack Smith. The response is likely to focus on committee procedure, transcript correction, and public letters rather than major legal penalties.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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