Senate balance matters

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Illinois race itself is expected to remain Democratic, but Stratton’s seat could matter if the national Senate balance is very close. The market implications would come from the broader Senate-control outcome, not from her personal victory alone.

What it moves

Healthcare+0.1%
Utilities+0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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