Protest Cycle Intensifies

18%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The arrest could become a rallying point for anti-ICE groups already angered by the resumed 3,000-daily-arrest goal and harsh protest sentences in Texas. This scenario involves more demonstrations and policing friction, but still falls short of a national macro shock.

What it moves

Consumer Services−0.2%
Business Services+0.2%
Industrials+0.1%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.1%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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