Possible scenario
Photo Finish Recount
18% Chance
The race remains effectively tied after Election Day, reflecting both Dembo's surprising strength and the district's Republican fundamentals. Legal teams, county clerks, and national party lawyers become central as both campaigns contest late ballots and tabulation issues.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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