Regional Escalation
−2.2%
Iran or aligned militias retaliate in a way that broadens the conflict beyond nuclear sites. The most probable forms are missile salvos, Hezbollah or Houthi attacks, or harassment of Gulf shipping rather than an immediate all-out regional war.
What it moves
- Energy+3.8%
- Consumer Services−3.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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