Negotiated De-Escalation
+1.2%
Despite Netanyahu’s maximalist language, U.S., Omani and European intermediaries prevent immediate escalation. This is a low-probability outcome given Iran’s rejection of uranium transfer and the strike-planning context, but both Washington and Tehran still have incentives to avoid a regional war.
What it moves
- Energy−2.2%
- Technology+1.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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