Possible scenario
Government Wins Narrowing
28% Chance
The Justice Department is likely to argue that the order interferes with ICE custody management and removal authority. A higher court may preserve the deportation stay while narrowing the transfer restrictions, especially if DHS offers notice and medical assurances.
Tickers
- GEO+0.6%
- CXW+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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