Possible scenario
Fine Payment Enables Transfer
38% Chance
Najib Razak’s family and political allies find a way to satisfy the $12.3 million fine condition, allowing the house-arrest order to be implemented. This is the most straightforward path because it avoids a direct confrontation between the Prisons Department, the Pardons Board and Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim’s unity government.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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