Possible scenario
Jail Term Continues
32% Chance
Authorities maintain that the house-arrest grant cannot operate unless the $12.3 million fine is settled. This outcome is plausible because Malaysian officials may prefer a narrow administrative explanation that avoids reopening the politically sensitive 1MDB conviction.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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