Possible scenario
Coalition Regains Momentum
25% Chance
Saudi-backed forces use Dhubab as a staging point and bring in reinforcements, artillery, and air support to relieve pressure on Taiz-aligned units. This would reduce immediate Houthi leverage, though a decisive collapse of Houthi positions is less likely than a limited corridor reopening.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.4%
- Consumer Services +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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