GOP Lead Holds

43%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Republican Party of Florida continues to build on its Day 10 statewide early-vote advantage, especially through in-person early voting. Democratic mail-ballot strength is not enough to offset GOP turnout in exurban, rural and Gulf Coast counties.

What it moves

Finance+0.2%
Energy+0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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