Possible scenario
Disputed Final Count
10%
−0.1%
A close statewide or high-profile congressional race leads to delayed certification, recount procedures or litigation over mail-ballot signatures and provisional ballots. The dispute is significant politically but remains contained to Florida election administration.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.