Confirmed Strike Impact

A less likely but more market-sensitive path is that a Houthi drone or missile causes damage, casualties, or a temporary halt at a significant Saudi civilian, aviation, or energy site. Because the current headline concerns Mecca and follows repeated Riyadh and western-region claims, confirmation of impact would be treated as a material escalation.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.